New Delhi, 23 May 2021: According to the National Weather Forecasting Centre of the India Meteorological Department (IMD): (Sunday 23 May 2021 Time of Issue: 1630 hours IST Based on 1430 hours IST Observations)

The northern limit of Southwest Monsoon continues to pass through 5°N/80°E, 10°N/85°E, 13°N/90°E

and 16°N/94.5°E.

The Well Marked Low Pressure Area over Eastcentral Bay of Bengal concentrated into a Depression over east­central Bay of Bengal and lay centred at 1130 hrs IST of today, the 23rd May, 2021 near latitude 16.1°N and longitude 90.2°E, about 560 km north­northwest of Port Blair (Andaman Islands), 590 km east­southeast of Paradip (Odisha), 690 km south­southeast of Balasore (Odisha) and 670 km south­southeast of Digha (West Bengal). It is very likely to move north­northwestwards and intensify into a Cyclonic Storm by 24th May morning and further into a Very Severe Cyclonic Storm during the subsequent 24 hours. It would continue to move north­northwestwards, intensify further and reach Northwest Bay of Bengal near West Bengal and north Odisha coasts by 26th May morning. It is very likely to cross north Odisha ­ West Bengal between Paradip and Sagar islands by evening of 26th May as a Very Severe Cyclonic Storm.

The Western Disturbance as a cyclonic circulation over North Pakistan and adjoining Jammu & Kashmir between 3.1km & 3.6 km above mean sea level with a trough aloft in mid & upper tropospheric westerlies with its axis at 5.8 km above mean sea level roughly along longitude 68°E

to the north of latitude 25°N persists.

  • The cyclonic circulation over Northern parts of Central Madhya Pradesh at 0.9 km above mean sea level persists.
  • The cyclonic circulation over Southwest Rajasthan at 0.9 km above mean sea level persists.
  • The cyclonic circulation over Eastcentral Arabian Sea and adjoining Maharashtra coast between 3.1km & 3.6

km above mean sea level persists.

  • A fresh Western Disturbance is likely to affect Western Himalayan Region from the night of 26th May, 2021.

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